STAT 210

1 ) Course Number : STAT 210 Name : Probability Theory
     
   
2)  Credits : 3 Contact Hours : 39 Hrs Lecture
 
3)  Course Coordinator’s Name : Dr. Hamid H. Ahmed
       
4)  Text Book :

A First Course in Probability Sheldon Ross , 8th Edition (2010)

       
5)  Other References :

Fundamentals of Applied Probability and Random Processes,  2nd Edition Oliver C. Ibe University of Massachusetts, Lowe LL, Massachusetts ( 2005)

       
6)  Specific Course Information
         
  a. Synopsis :

This course aims to introduce students to the concepts of the theory of probability and how it is used in decision-making with the study of random variables and probability distributions and their characteristics.

         
  b. Prerequisites :

STAT 110-General Statistics

         
  c. Type of Course : Core
         
7)  Course Learning Outcomes (CLO)
   
   

Students will be able to:

  1. Knowing about the basics probability laws and rules.
  2. Use these laws and rules to solve various examples.
  3. Understanding the main probability concepts..
  4. Familiarize student with proper logical thinking and winning skills necessary to resolve issues related to the probability.
     
8)  Course Topics and Their Duration
   
 

Number

Description

Duration in weeks

1

Combinatorial Analysis (Counting rules, Permutations, Combinations, Binomial Theorem). Basic Probability concepts

2

2

Conditional probability, Total Probability and Bayes theorem and Tree Diagram. Independence events- Applications of Permutations and combinations in Probability.

1

3

Random variable, cumulative distribution function,. Discrete random variable, probability mass function, and CDF of a discrete random variable, Continuous random variable, probability density function, CDF,

2

 

Midterm Exam 1

4

Expectation, variance for discrete and continuous random variable. Moments about zero and moments about mean. Moment generating function for discrete and continuous random variable.

1

5

Discrete probability distributions : Bernoulli dist’n (p.d.f, CDF, mean, variance, m.g.f, mean and variance from m.g.f) o

1

6

Binomial dist’n (p.d.f, CDF, mean, variance, m.g.f, mean and variance from m.g.f) o Poisson dist’n (p.d.f, CDF, mean, variance, m.g.f, mean and variance from m.g.f)

2

 

Midterm Exam 2

7

Geometric dist’n (p.d.f, CDF, mean, variance, m.g.f, mean and variance from m.g.f). o Hyper geometric dist’n (p.d.f, CDF, mean, variance, m.g.f, mean and variance from m.g.f)

1

8

Uniform dist’n (p.d.f, CDF, mean, variance, m.g.f, mean and variance from m.g.f) o Exponential dist’n (p.d.f, CDF, mean, variance, m.g.f, mean and variance from m.g.f)

2

9

Normal distribution (mean, variance, m.g.f) Standard normal variable. Application of standard normal variable,

1

10

Techniques of simulation

1

 

Final Exam   

 
9)  Class Schedule
 

Meet 60 minutes three times/week

   
10)  Assessment Tools and Marks Distribution
     
 

Assessment Type

Percentage of  Mark

Homework and Quizzes

10 %

Midterm Exam 1

25 %

Midterm Exam 2

25 %

Final Exam

40 %

Total

100 %

 
   

Last Update
2/18/2017 8:38:28 PM